Tucson Progressive

A Voice for Progressive Thought in Arizona

AZ Governor’s Race: ‘Not Sure’ Holds Lead in 9-Way Field

governor race data 3-14

Public Policy Polling Data plotted by The Tucson Progressive

Nine candidates are running for governor of Arizona in the 2014 election. How do voters feel about them?


According to a recent survey (pdf) of 870 Arizona voters by  Public Policy Polling, Arizonans are underwhelmed by our choices for governor. The above graphic shows Governor Jan Brewer’s approval rating compared to the nine declared candidates: Secretary of State Ken Bennett, State Treasurer Doug Ducey, Former Board of Regents Member and sole Democrat Fred DuVal, Businesswoman Christine Jones, State Senator Al Melvin, Physician John Molina, Former California Congressman Frank Riggs, Mesa Mayor Scott Smith, and Former Maricopa County Attorney Andrew Thomas.

Overall, the only clear winner is “Not Sure”– despite months of campaigning by some of the candidates, most notably DuVal and Bennett. In the GOP primary, “undecided” scored 34% — 14 points above Bennett, the GOP leader. Ouch. Individual GOP match-ups with DuVal show no clear winners because such a high percentage of voters are “not sure.”

Except for Smith and DuVal, whose approval/disapproval ratings are almost equal, all of the other candidates have much higher disapproval ratings. Disbarred county attorney Thomas has the highest disapproval rating at 29% (vs 13% approval rating). Secretary of State “Birther” Bennett (who has distinguished himself by demanding that Hawaii produce President Barack Obama’s birth certificate and by backing voter suppression legislation passed by the Arizona Legislature) has a 24% disapproval rating (vs 12% approval). Melvin (who wants to turn Arizona into the country’s nuclear waste dump and recently showed his stupidity on CNN) and California carpetbagger Riggs have the lowest approval ratings (4% vs 5%, respectively).

With eight months before the election, where does this leave us?

Thomas, Melvin, and Riggs– and maybe Molina and Jones– should give up and stop wasting our time. Riggs and Molina have zero name recognition. Melvin, Thomas, Ducey, Jones, and Bennett have bad or highly mixed name recognition. For example, on the question of SB1062 (the recent anti-gay bill passed by the Legislature) Jones, Thomas, Ducey, and Melvin all backed SB1062, while Bennett and Smith played both sides of the fence. DuVal was the only gubernatorial candidate who came out solidly against SB1062. (The same Public Policy Poll showed that 72% of Arizonans agree with Brewer’s veto of SB1062 and, furthermore, 49% approve of gay marriage.)

NOTE to Fred DuVal: push your campaign into high gear, while the Republicans scramble.


5 comments on “AZ Governor’s Race: ‘Not Sure’ Holds Lead in 9-Way Field

  1. revgerry
    March 6, 2014

    Pam, hi,
    Maybe you could do an interview with Fred? I like him but most people don’t know him.

  2. standup4urstate
    June 4, 2014

    Please include candidate J. Johnson for General Election articles.
    Check out http://www.writeinjjohnson.com

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The Tucson Progressive

I stand on the side of Love. I believe in kindness to all creatures on Earth--not just people who agree with me or look like me. I believe that people who promote religiosity but use violence, intimidation, and lies to force their ideas upon other people are not following the teachings of any religious leader.

I have a bachelor's degree in journalism from Ohio State University and a masters in public health from the University of Arizona. In addition to being a blogger, I am a published author, photographer, clay artist, mother, nana, and wife.

My Tucson Progressive blog and Facebook page feature large doses of liberal ideas, local, state, and national politics, and random bits of humor. I also blog at Blog for Arizona and the Huffington Post. I am a proud member of Progressive Democrats of America (PDA).

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